ONTARIO SIRES STAKES | MOHAWK PARK SELECTIONS FRIDAY JULY 24,2026

Friday Night at Woodbine Mohawk Park — July 24, 2026

It’s a stacked 11-race card on getaway night for WEG’s “5 Nights of Racing” stretch, with the $75,000 Guaranteed Early Pick 5 spanning Races 1-5 and a Late Pick 5 covering Races 6-10. Weather and track conditions look fast on paper, and the card leans heavily on developing 2-year-old trotters through the Ontario Sires Stakes Grassroots and Gold series, mixed in with competitive filly/mare pacing classes. Post time is 6:30 p.m., 121st racing day of the meet.

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Woodbine Mohawk Park — Friday, July 24, 2026 — Race-by-Race Analysis

(Format below is plain text for easy copy/paste)

RACE 1 — Pace, FM 4YO&Younger, NW $15,000

1. #8 CANT TURN YOU DOWN (2-1) – Came off a dominant 14-length wire-to-wire win last out in a faster time than anything else in this field, backed by a hot trainer/driver combo (Carroll/McClure).
2. #2 FAVORITISM (5-2) – Turned in the fastest qualifying mile of her life just before this start and gets a top percentage trainer (Gallucci, 34% win rate) for her pari-mutuel debut.
3. #7 TEESHA SEELSTER (8-1) – Has finished 2nd in two of her last three starts without being far back at the wire, showing improving late pace under a live driver (Travis Henry).

Longshot Value: #10 JAYPORT DIAMOND (10-1) – She’s already banked 3 wins from 9 starts this year including back-to-back finishes in the money, and if her natural gate speed gets her clear early from the outside post, she’s a big price for a filly with this much recent winning form.

RACE 2 — Trot, 2YO Colts/Geldings, OSS Grassroots Leg 2

1. #5 DA TRIXTER (3-1) – Won his last start decisively by riding cover to the stretch and finishing it off, showing the sharpest closing kick of anyone in this field.
2. #7 SPEEDY MICHAEL (7-2) – Finished second in his pari-mutuel debut while first-over against a rival that simply had too much class that night, and draws a workable post to build on that effort.
3. #1 KING OF THE SOUTH (9-2) – Has closed ground in the stretch in both his career starts and gets a positive trainer angle from a barn with a strong recent driver/trainer combo score.

Longshot Value: #8 LOCH NESS (10-1) – He finished second in the same qualifier as Speedy Michael, showing similar tactical speed at a much bigger price tonight.

RACE 3 — Pace, FM NW3 (or $60,000 lifetime)

1. #5 TH CHECK ME OUT (7-2) – The only horse in this field that raced within the last two weeks (July 12), and she did so by breaking a track record while leading gate-to-wire.
2. #1 EASY STATION (2-1) – Owns the fastest and most consistent recent figures in the field (a 1:48 4/5 mile in defeat against much tougher foes), even with a slightly stale date working against her.
3. #7 MY GIRL FRIDAY (4-1) – Has four wins on her card and continues to finish in the top three, giving her a class and consistency edge over less proven rivals.

Longshot Value: #6 JEN TILLY (6-1) – Big-money bred filly adding Lasix for the first time, drawing the best post, with plenty of raw speed if she can put a clean trip together.

RACE 4 — Trot, 2YO Colts, OSS Grassroots Leg 2

1. #8 GREAT WHITE NORTH (3-1) – Has finished second in both of his career starts while closing hard each time, showing the most consistent top-end speed in the field.
2. #6 GRACEFUL KING (7-2) – Drew the rail-friendliest post of his career after being parked wide for over half a mile in his last qualifier and still firing home in 27 1/5.
3. #4 SEND ME NO FLOWERS (9-2) – Trotting hopples appear to have solved his early break issue, and he trotted a very sharp 56 3/5 back half last time.

Longshot Value: #5 STORMONT GOLDEN (8-1) – Homebred related to several winning siblings, drawing one of the best posts for his debut, from a barn (Benn) that is red-hot right now (37%+ win rate in recent stats).

RACE 5 — Pace, FM NW2

1. #3 ON FLEEK (3-1) – Led gate-to-wire in a career-best 1:50 3/5 last start and gets the leading trainer/driver combo in the field again tonight.
2. #7 MADAME PANIC (7-2) – Paced the fastest mile of her career in defeat last out against a very live rival, and she has 5 wins on her card, the most of anyone entered.
3. #1 AMAZING ADDY (10-1) – Has finished second in back-to-back starts against stakes-caliber company and should get away cleanly from the rail.

Longshot Value: #8 WESLYN HANOVER (10-1) – Won her last start outright at Sarnia and now returns to a beatable Woodbine field.

RACE 6 — Trot, 2YO Colts NW

1. #7 THE ITALIAN JOB (3-1) – Dominant winner of his pari-mutuel debut after working out a pocket trip and converting, showing the clearest class edge in the race.
2. #1 ACCESS NOW (7-2) – Closed the fastest of anyone in the field last start (27 1/5 final quarter) and is bred from a $778,000-earning family.
3. #2 POINT BLANK (5-1) – Only a $6,000 purchase, but he produced an eye-catching late move from sixth at the three-quarters to finish first in his last qualifier.

Longshot Value: #8 MAHALO (6-1) – Has finished second in both of his qualifiers with a game closing effort each time, and gets live driver Travis Henry tonight.

RACE 7 — Trot, 2YO Colts, OSS Grassroots Leg 2

1. #8 KINGS CROWN N COKE (3-1) – Has won his last two starts in a row wire-to-wire, giving him the most proven recent form in this field.
2. #6 ERINWOOD COSMO (7-2) – Lost by only a couple of strides to the top pick last time after being forced to swing wide, and now draws the best post to turn the tables.
3. #4 STORMONT MAROON (5-1) – Cruised to an easy qualifier win this week from a strong Ontario trotting sire line.

Longshot Value: #1 THE GREAT GAZOO (6-1) – Finished a competitive second in his only qualifier and could sneak into the mix at a square price behind the pace-pressers.

RACE 8 — Trot, 2YO Colts, OSS Gold Leg 2 ($150,000 purse)

1. #7 UNSTABLE GENIUS (4-5) – Overcame a gapped-cover trip to explode through the stretch and win the first leg of this series as the favorite, showing the highest ceiling in the field.
2. #1 DETONATER HANOVER (9-2) – Finished second to the top pick in that same tough opening leg and was in front until being run down, confirming he’s the closest thing to the favorite.
3. #6 D A JOHNNY CASH (8-1) – Won his last start wire-to-wire in a career-best time and is trained by a barn hitting at a strong recent clip.

Longshot Value: #3 GRAND MANALISHI (10-1) – Raced competitively with the top two picks last time before fading late, and he has the early speed to be dangerous if things set up right.

RACE 9 — Pace, FM NW2

1. #8 MCBUBBLES (6-1) – The freshest horse in the field (raced just 12 days ago), and she’s won her last start after also winning two of the three before that.
2. #7 MONTE AMORE (3-1) – Paced the fastest mile of her career in a tight second-place finish last time and gets a positive driver change back to a top pilot.
3. #4 ARTISTIC DELIGHT (10-1) – Has finished second in two of her last three starts while overcoming difficult trips, showing she’s rounding into form at the right time.

Longshot Value: #6 AUNT GERTRUDE (8-1) – Finished second last time out and has three wins this year, giving her a live shot at a bigger price than her recent consistency suggests.

RACE 10 — Trot, 2YO Colts, OSS Grassroots Leg 2

1. #2 BALIUS (5-2) – Gets a major upgrade in barn and driver (to Menary and the meet’s top pilot) after showing resilience to rally for a minor cheque despite breaking at the start of his debut.
2. #4 BLACK SHANK (4-1) – Showed a strong closing kick in his last qualifier (27 4/5 last quarter) and is a half-brother to a 42-time winner.
3. #3 SUNDAE ROYALE (5-1) – Has shown incremental improvement in each of his last two starts, closing well after being forced wide.

Longshot Value: #6 COMMANDER KELLY (10-1) – Finally showed real gate speed in his most recent qualifier after two rough tries, and a driver change could help him convert that speed into a share.

RACE 11 — Pace, FM Optional Claiming Finale

1. #4 LANESIDE INCONTROL (9-2) – Was the most dominant filly in this field over her last two starts (one win, one close loss to a red-hot rival) and now gets the leading driver (LP Roy) in the bike.
2. #2 MADAM X (3-1) – Was simply overmatched by a filly setting a new lifetime mark last time but still finished with good energy, and now drops in class off a claim.
3. #7 TWIN B EMPRESS (7-2) – Won seven of eight starts earlier this spring before being over-matched at a higher claiming level in three straight fast miles, and now drops back to the level where she dominated.

Longshot Value: #6 SETTN A PRECEDENT (6-1) – Reached peak form last time, closing to finish just three-quarters of a length behind a heavy favorite, and gets to fire right back at the same beatable level tonight.