This is a big 12-race Western Fair card for Friday May 22, 2026. Key context from the stats page: PP3 and PP4 are the best posts at Western Fair (pace: PP3 19.9%, PP4 20.3%). The top drivers are Rooney (19.9%), Sorrie (19.0%), and Galliers (18.2%). Gerard Demers is the hottest trainer on the grounds (25.7% wins, $199K earned, 21.2% last 15 days). Brent Belore is surging (32.3% wins, 44.4% last 10 days).
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Top PickWon last week at this same class level in 1:54.4, Ryan/Guillemette the dominant combo. 4 wins and 3 places from 15 starts in 2026. Guillemette training at 19.0% wins and surging hot (40.0% last 5 days). PP4 is statistically the best post at Western Fair (20.3%).
PP 4 · ML 8-5 · Driver: Ryan (.273)
2
#6 Ladies From Hell
6 wins from 13 starts in 2026 — remarkable record for a 12-year-old. Won two starts back and was a nose second last week behind Justine Ray. Rooney/Sumner; Sumner training at 28.9%. PP6 is a concern (7.6%) but this mare consistently overcomes post issues.
PP 6 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Rooney (.317)
3
#8 Lauras Crush
7 wins from 15 starts in 2026 — hottest mare in the barn. Won April 28 and third May 4. Maclellan/Elliott; Elliott training at 20.4%. PP8 is tough (8.0%) but the form is undeniable. She’s been competitive at every level this season.
PP 8 · ML 8-1 · Driver: Maclellan (.275)
LS
#3 Macapelo Seelster
LongshotQualified in a sharp 1:54.2 for her seasonal debut. Was racing against much tougher at Woodbine ($22K class) in her last start. Drops back to face mares. Sorrie driving, Brickman training. PP3 is the second-best post at Western Fair (19.9%). Fresh, sharp qualifier is a dangerous combo.
Second in his last start at Flamboro. Fillion drives — #4 overall driver at Western Fair. Copley training at 44.4% wins from 9 starts — elite rate. PP2 at 13.5% is modest but this maiden filly/gelding is showing improvement every start. Best combo on paper.
PP 2 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Fillion (.285)
2
#6 Lyons Scooting
Second last start at London May 12 — showed strong late kick from PP2. Doyle/Sherman combo consistent. PP6 is poor (7.6%) but drew well off pace. Sherman training at 5.9% wins but 13 seconds in 51 starts shows horses hit the board often.
PP 6 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Doyle (.229)
3
#1 Ridin Shotgun
Third two starts back. Wray/Wray combo — local trainer/driver who knows his horse. PP1 at 17.6% is a strong post at Western Fair. Three starts at this level showing steady improvement. Takes the early lead if allowed.
PP 1 · ML 3-1 · Driver: Wray (.156)
LS
#4 Beachwash
LongshotTrainer change to Gerard Demers — the hottest trainer on the grounds at 25.7% wins. Won at Ayers Cliff last summer and has a 2:00.1 lifetime at Rideau. Sorrie takes the mount. That Demers/Sorrie combo is elite. PP4 at 20.3% is the best post on the card. At 4-1, live upset potential.
PP 4 · ML 4-1 · Driver: Sorrie (.322)
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Race 3-Trot — $9,500 — NW $3,000 Last 3 or $4,000 Last 5 / OC $15,000Pick 3 (3-4-5)
1
#3 Amigo Mio
Top PickWon last week at 1:59.2 from PP1 — dominant late move. Sorrie/Demers combo — Demers is the hottest trainer on the grounds (25.7%, surging). PP3 at 16.4% is solid for a trot. Two wins from 17 starts this year and showing improved form at the class drop.
PP 3 · ML 8-5 · Driver: Sorrie (.322)
2
#2 Run Like Hill
Second last week to Amigo Mio — has been on the board in a remarkable 8 of last 10 starts. House/Guillemette; Guillemette’s barn is 19.0% wins. PP2 at 15.8% trot is respectable. Consistent veteran who earns his keep every week.
PP 2 · ML 3-1 · Driver: House (.261)
3
#6 Toscano Girl
Won May 1 against this class level. Ryan/Harris combo. PP6 at 9.0% in trots is the weak link but she’s shown gate speed to overcome it. 6 wins from 15 starts in 2026 — very strong record. Fit and freshened.
PP 6 · ML 10-1 · Driver: Ryan (.220)
LS
#5 No One
LongshotWas close second May 7 at Flamboro. Galliers/Pereira — Galliers is the #3 driver at Western Fair (18.2%). PP5 at 17.0% in trots is a live post. At 4-1, the form fits and Galliers gives a significant upgrade over recent connections.
Won last start May 8 by 6.5 lengths in a dominant 1:58.4 — career best. Rooney/Core; Core training at 19.4% wins. PP3 is the second-best post at Western Fair (19.9%). 4 wins from 15 starts this year. On a sharp upward trajectory.
PP 3 · ML 3-1 · Driver: Rooney (.317)
2
#1 Night Train
Won two straight in April, very consistent front-ender. Maclellan/Harris driving — Maclellan at 15.0% wins. PP1 at 17.6% is a solid post. Qualified last week in 2:01.2. Returns sharp. Has won from this post before in this class.
PP 1 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Maclellan (.275)
3
#4 Kerwood Kid
Won April 7 at this class — knows how to win here. Day/Wall combo; Wall training at 16.7% wins. PP4 at 20.3% is the statistically best post at Western Fair. Has multiple podiums at this level in 2026. Draws the best post.
PP 4 · ML 4-1 · Driver: Day (.171)
LS
#8 Diesel Dali
LongshotWon April 24 in career best 1:59.2. Knight training at 47.2% from 4 starts — best trainer win rate on the card. Two wins this season from a small sample. MacKenzie drives. At 10-1, a horse peaking at the right time with an elite-rate trainer.
Top Pick8 wins from 17 starts in 2026 — the most dominant horse in this field. Won two starts back May 18. Galliers/Loyer; Loyer training at 27.8% wins, surging hot (29.2% last 15 days). PP6 at 7.6% is the weak link but this horse wins regardless of post.
PP 6 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
2
#3 Speakdollarsncents
4 wins from 17 starts, second last week May 15 in a nose finish. Galliers/Loyer AGAIN — the same elite combo. PP3 at 19.9% is ideal. Consistent performer who always threatens. If Thatmomentinlife gets caught, this stablemate is the likely beneficiary.
PP 3 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
3
#5 Major Hill
Won April 28 at this exact class level. Fillion/Demers — Demers training surging. PP5 at 14.6% is workable. $754K lifetime earner who knows how to win at London. 3 wins from 15 starts in 2026.
PP 5 · ML 4-1 · Driver: Fillion (.285)
LS
#7 Captain Butler
LongshotWon two of last three starts including April 29 at Flamboro and May 5 at London. Macdonell/Stamp; 2 wins from 10 starts in 2026. PP7 at 5.6% is very tough, but a horse in peak form who just won twice in quick succession deserves respect. At 10-1, the best upset angle.
Wait — this is the correct race 6. Top pick is #6 Thatmomentinlife (see Race 5 above). For Race 6, the top pick is #6 Thatmomentinlife if it runs here, otherwise the analysis below applies. The correct Race 6 top pick is:
Top Pick8 wins from 17 starts in 2026. Won May 18 at this class from PP8. Galliers/Loyer — top combo. Despite PP6 being modest (7.6%), this horse has consistently won from outer posts. The class and form overwhelm post disadvantage here.
PP 6 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
2
#1 Docdor Mickey
Second May 15 at this exact level. Won at Rideau last December. Sorrie/Laver; trainer change to Laver — Demers system connection. PP1 at 17.6% is a solid post. Shows consistent late pace and has been on the board in 5 of last 6 starts including 2 wins and 2 seconds.
PP 1 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Sorrie (.322)
3
#7 Chief of Staff
Third May 15 at this class. Fillion/Kerr; Kerr training at 10.0%. PP7 at 5.6% is weak but this horse is consistent — 2 wins and 3 thirds from 13 starts in 2026. Second best post-9 record in the field.
PP 7 · ML 4-1 · Driver: Fillion (.285)
LS
#5 Kevndan Fraudsters
LongshotThird May 18 behind Thatmomentinlife — showed 29.2 early quarters. Sorrie/Bissett. PP5 at 14.6% is workable. In 19 starts without a win, but this horse has now placed 3 times suggesting class-dropping sweet spot has arrived. At 3-1, third place two starts back makes him legitimate underneath.
PP 5 · ML 3-1 · Driver: Maclellan (.275)
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Race 7-Pace — $11,500 — NW $5,500 Last 3 / $7,500 Last 5 / or NW $60,000 LT
1
#3 Total Stranger
Top Pick4 wins from 11 starts in 2026 including a dominant March 29 performance. Galliers/Mann; Mann training at 25.6% wins. PP3 at 19.9% is ideal. $425K lifetime earner bought for $425K — proven class. Best post plus best trainer/driver in the race.
PP 3 · ML 8-5 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
2
#2 Docsphillycheese
Won two starts back April 24 and has been consistent at this level. Rooney/Kennedy. PP2 at 13.5% is modest but Rooney is the leading driver at Western Fair (19.9% wins). 2 wins from 11 starts in 2026. Acts well at London.
PP 2 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Rooney (.317)
3
#5 Scratchin An Itch
5 wins from 14 starts in 2026 — strong record. Won April 28 at London. House/McNiven; McNiven training at 19.4% wins. PP5 at 14.6% is workable. Consistent front-ender who has proven he belongs in this company.
PP 5 · ML 3-1 · Driver: House (.261)
LS
#8 Prestige Seelster
LongshotWon qualifier last week in dominant fashion at Flamboro — front-to-front in 1:57.0. Sorrie/Kerr. $402K lifetime earner dropping into this class off a layoff. PP8 is very tough (8.0%) but the qualifier was impressive. Kerr’s barn is 11.8% wins overall and improving. At 10-1, fresh horse is dangerous.
Top Pick6 wins from 15 starts in 2026 — dominant this season. Multiple wins from the rail post at London. Sorrie/Andrew; Andrew training at 32.4% wins — second best active trainer win rate. PP2 at 13.5% is acceptable for a front-ender with this much gate speed.
PP 2 · ML 8-5 · Driver: Sorrie (.322)
2
#1 Sweetview
4 wins from 16 starts in 2026 — consistent. Won April 14. Galliers/Schneider; Schneider training at 12.4% wins, 13.6% last 10 days. PP1 at 17.6% is a live post. Has won from the rail repeatedly. Will battle Gascoigne AC on the front end.
PP 1 · ML 4-1 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
3
#4 Party It Up
3 wins and 2 seconds from 16 starts in 2026 — steady placer. Maclellan/Bossence; Bossence training at 23.4% wins. PP4 at 20.3% is the best post at Western Fair. Has been competitive at both London and Woodbine this year.
PP 4 · ML 3-1 · Driver: Maclellan (.275)
LS
#6 All Bets On Gary
Longshot5 wins from 18 starts in 2026 — decent record. Was second May 3 at Flamboro. Rooney/Schneider — Schneider’s barn is on a 13.6% clip last 10 days. PP6 at 7.6% is the concern but Rooney is the leading driver at Western Fair. $89K earned in 2026 alone shows he belongs. At 6-1, overlaid.
Top Pick3 wins from 11 starts in 2026. Won April 17 in a career-best 1:59.4. Fillion/Forgie; Forgie training at 16.7% wins (18.8% last 10 days and surging). PP8 is a concern (7.7% in trots) but Fillion and Forgie are a consistent money combo at Western Fair.
PP 8 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Fillion (.285)
2
#6 Hollow Hill Magic
Won two straight — April 24 and May 1 at this class level. Galliers/Creighton; Creighton training at 21.4% wins. PP6 at 9.0% in trots is a concern but two straight wins show form is peaking right now. Was scratched judges last week — returns fresh.
PP 6 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
3
#1 Ring The Alarm
Third May 15, third April 10 — consistent placer. Doyle/Morrissey. PP1 at 12.9% in trots is respectable. Has been on the board in 4 of 12 starts. Mare who earns her keep and could sneak into a spot at a price.
PP 1 · ML 3-1 · Driver: Doyle (.229)
LS
#5 Monteverdi
LongshotTrainer change to Greg Price — Price is an elite trainer at 35.3% wins and 54.2% UTRS from 17 starts this season. $365K lifetime earner returning after a brief absence. Moore driving from PP5 (17.0% in trots). Price’s horses fire when they return to the track. At 10-1, the best value in the race.
PP 5 · ML 10-1 · Driver: Moore (.210)
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Race 10-Pace — $11,500 — NW $5,500 Last 3 / $7,500 Last 5 / or NW $60,000 LTPick 3 (10-11-12)
1
#3 Stroker
Top Pick4 wins from 11 starts in 2026 — excellent ratio. Won at Flamboro with back-to-back seconds at this same class. Fillion/Rivest; Rivest training at 31.8% wins. PP3 at 19.9% is the second-best post. Was second May 12 at London — form is spot on.
PP 3 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Fillion (.285)
2
#7 Batterup Hanover
3 wins from 12 starts in 2026, won March 21 at Woodbine in 1:52.0. Ryan/Hollingsworth; Hollingsworth training at 16.0% wins. PP7 at 5.6% is a concern but this is a class dropper coming from much tougher Woodbine competition. Big pace edge over rivals.
PP 7 · ML 3-1 · Driver: Ryan (.220)
3
#4 Atlas Hanover
3 wins from 16 starts in 2026. Won May 5 at this class level. Sorrie/Demers — Demers is the hottest trainer. PP4 at 20.3% is the best post. $417K lifetime earner who consistently finds the board at London.
PP 4 · ML 6-1 · Driver: Sorrie (.322)
LS
#2 Come On Artie
LongshotWon April 22 at this class in 1:57.3 and came off a tough Preferred spot. Harris/May; May training at 9.1% wins but the horse is consistent — 2 wins and 1 second from 14 starts. PP2 at 13.5% is workable. At 5-2, was a recent winner at this exact level and is being underestimated tonight.
Top Pick2 wins from 11 starts in 2026 including a class-dropping dominant win. Doyle/Forgie; Forgie training at 16.7% wins (18.8% last 10 days). PP3 at 19.9% is excellent. Won May 12 at this level despite starting from an outside post — can do it again from a better draw.
PP 3 · ML 8-5 · Driver: Doyle (.229)
2
#4 Filly Watcher
3 wins from 15 starts in 2026. Won March 31 from PP1 — handles front positions. Rooney/Cochrane; Cochrane training at 14.3% wins. PP4 at 20.3% is statistically the best post. Consistent placer who earns a spot in the exotics every week.
PP 4 · ML 5-2 · Driver: Rooney (.317)
3
#6 Jimsun
4 wins from 17 starts in 2026 — consistent. Won April 21 at this class level. House/Sherman. PP6 at 7.6% is the concern but Jimsun regularly overcomes post issues with gate speed. Third April 14, third April 6 — always finds a spot.
PP 6 · ML 8-1 · Driver: House (.261)
LS
#1 Sports Activator
LongshotWon April 10 at London. Fillion/Armstrong; Armstrong training at 42.0% wins from 23 starts — elite rate, third best on the card. PP1 at 17.6% is a strong post. Fillion is the #4 driver at Western Fair. At 3-1 this should be higher in the picks, but the wide draw concerns keep him here. Dangerous from the rail.
Top Pick6 wins from 15 starts in 2026 — the best record in this field. Won May 8 at this exact class level. House/McNiven; McNiven training at 19.4% wins. PP7 assigned post is a disadvantage (5.6%) but this horse has the quality to overcome it. $263K lifetime, 1:51.2 best time — class of the field.
PP 7 · ML 8-5 · Driver: House (.261)
2
#1 Ideal Perception
2 wins and 3 places from 11 starts in 2026. Won April 17 at this level from PP4 in 1:56.1. Galliers/Beaton; Beaton training at 12.4% wins. PP1 at 17.6% is a solid post for a front-end horse. Will push for the early lead and make it a battle.
PP 1 · ML 2-1 · Driver: Galliers (.298)
3
#3 Cheddar Bay
5 wins from 12 starts in 2026 — very strong. Won May 1 in a shared first. Harris/Core; Core training at 19.4% wins. PP3 at 19.9% is ideal. 10-year-old veteran who knows the London lanes and comes alive in the spring season.
PP 3 · ML 4-1 · Driver: Harris (.259)
LS
#8 B Stoney
Longshot10 wins from 26 starts last year, $549K lifetime. Trainer change to Jay Polifroni who has a remarkable 49.3% win rate from 16 starts this season — best win rate among active trainers at Western Fair. Won qualifier April 25 in 1:54.4. Ryan/Polifroni is a dangerous late-season combo. Third May 1. At 8-1, serious upset potential with this trainer angle.