Game Information

• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
• Spread: Arizona State -3.5
• Moneyline: Arizona State -172 | Colorado +142
• Total: 48.5

Colorado Looking to Build Momentum

Colorado enters this contest coming off one of its biggest victories of the season, a hard-fought 27-24 win over Kansas State. The Buffaloes leaned heavily on their rushing attack, piling up more than 220 yards on the ground and controlling key stretches of the game.

The offense has produced flashes of explosiveness this season, but consistency has been difficult to find. Colorado averages just over 21 points per game and has struggled with turnovers and penalties at critical moments. When the Buffaloes establish their running game, however, they become a much more balanced and dangerous offense.

Defensively, Colorado remains a concern. The Buffaloes have surrendered nearly 30 points per contest and rank near the bottom of the conference against the pass. Opposing quarterbacks have enjoyed success attacking Colorado’s secondary, which could be a problem this week against an Arizona State offense that prefers to stretch the field.

Sun Devils Seeking a Bounce-Back Performance

Arizona State returns home after a disappointing 27-20 loss to BYU. Despite moving the ball at times, the Sun Devils struggled to finish drives and were held below their season scoring average.

The offense has been relatively productive throughout the year, averaging close to 30 points and nearly 400 total yards per game. Arizona State’s passing attack has carried the load, while the ground game has provided enough balance to keep defenses honest.

The challenge for the Sun Devils has been on the defensive side. Like Colorado, Arizona State has had trouble preventing points, allowing nearly 30 per game. While the defense has shown improvement against the run, it has not generated many takeaways and often finds itself under pressure in close contests.

Key Matchup

The biggest storyline is whether Colorado’s rushing attack can control the pace against Arizona State’s front seven. If the Buffaloes are able to duplicate last week’s success on the ground, they’ll keep their defense off the field and shorten the game.

On the other side, Arizona State’s passing game has a favorable matchup against a Colorado secondary that has struggled throughout the season. If the Sun Devils win through the air, they may be able to create enough separation to protect their home field.

Recent Form Trends

• Over is 3-0-1 in Sun Devils last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Over is 4-0 in Sun Devils last 4 games following a straight up win.
• Sun Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 6-1 in Buffaloes last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Under is 6-1 in Sun Devils last 7 games following a straight up loss.
• Over is 6-1 in Buffaloes last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
• Under is 4-1 in Buffaloes last 5 road games.

Prediction

These teams are remarkably similar statistically, with both offenses capable of moving the football and both defenses prone to giving up big plays. The difference may come down to home-field advantage and Arizona State’s slightly more reliable offensive production.

Colorado should keep things competitive, especially if its rushing attack continues to perform at a high level. Still, Arizona State’s ability to generate chunk plays through the air gives the Sun Devils a slight edge in a game that could remain close into the fourth quarter.

Score Prediction

Arizona State 30, Colorado 23

Best Bets:

• Arizona State Moneyline

Final Verdict: The Sun Devils take advantage of playing at home and make a few more key plays late, earning a much-needed victory in a competitive Big 12 battle.