May 1, 2024

Week 3 NFL Recap

3 min read

Greetings,

Unlike last season when I went a perfect 9-0 on my plays during week 3 (6-0 on my straight plays, 3-0 on teasers), I didn’t do so hot in week 3 this season. I went just 1-4 overall, as I went 0-2 on my straight plays and 1-2 on my teasers (all 2 teams, 6 points).

My two straight play losses were on Seattle and the L.A. Chargers. I won my teaser on

Indianapolis/Seattle, while losing my teasers on Indianapolis/Pittsburgh and Pittsburgh/Seattle. Since I did not have an official Monday night play, I did give some of you Arizona +140 as a very small moneyline bet.  However, I rarely do moneyline bets and when I do, I NEVER count them as official plays. Had Arizona defeated Dallas tonight outright, I still would not have counted it as a win.

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So I am admittedly off to a somewhat disappointing start, as I am just 4-7 overall, going 2-2 on my sides/straight plays and 2-5 on my teasers (all 2 teams, 6 points). However, I am not too worried about my somewhat slow start. In fact during my BEST NFL season ever (2014) I started the season by going just 7-9-1 overall during the first 3 weeks of the season. I then went on an incredible stretch for the rest of the season, going a spectacular 67-25-2 on all of my plays from week 4 of the 2014 NFL season all of the way through the Super Bowl.

So I wound up finishing the 2014 NFL season going 74-34-3 (68.5%) overall, including a stellar 48-20-3 (70.6%) on my straight plays and 26-14 on my teasers (all 2 teams, 6 points). And during the 19 years that I have been wagering on the NFL, I have usually done better during the second half of the season than I have during the first half of the season. Hence, last season was an aberration for me as I hit on a dominating 74% of my plays during the first 10 weeks of the season while going just .500 from week 11 through the Super Bowl to finish 84-46-8 overall – 64.6%).

What is important to look at is a handicapper’s long-term record. Since the beginning of the 2006 NFL season (the year that I launched my current website, I have gone a documented 779-594-41 (56.74%) on all of my plays. Hence nickel bettors who have wagered on all of my plays since the beginning of the 2006 NFL season have made a very healthy profit of $62,800, which averages out to be more than $5,600 per NFL season. Betting my NFL plays is still much more profitable than investing in the stock market, real estate, or just about anything else.

There is a good chance that I will release a straight play on Thursday for the Thursday night game, as well as one or more teasers that involve one of the teams playing in the Thursday night game. And of course, I will release additional plays on Friday and possibly over the course of the weekend as well. So stay posted.

 

Steve ¨Cubby¨ Drumm – PickNFLWinners.com

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