Big Ten opponents will clash when the No. 5 Michigan Wolverines (6-0) face the No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0).
Game: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines
Date: Saturday, October 15, 2022
Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, MI
Odds/Point Spread: Wolverines (-7) at America’s Bookie
Michigan Stadium is the location where the Michigan Wolverines (6-0) will compete against the Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) on Saturday. Penn State opens as 7-point underdogs. The over/under is 50
Michigan owns the 31st-ranked offense this year (458.7 yards per game), and has been even better on the other side of the ball, ranking sixth-best with just 247.0 yards allowed per game. Michigan has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking eighth-best in scoring offense (43.0 points per game) and sixth-best in scoring defense (11.3 points allowed per game). On defense, Michigan has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 12th-best by giving up only 165.3 passing yards per game. The Wolverines rank 69th on offense (246.3 passing yards per game). Michigan has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (20th-best with 212.3 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (seventh-best with 81.7 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. From an offensive standpoint, Michigan ranks 36th in the FBS with a 45.5% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 27th in third-down conversion rate allowed (81.7). Michigan has forced seven total turnovers (75th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over three times (sixth in the FBS) for +4a turnover margin of +4, 26th-ranked in college football.
Penn State ranks 39th with 443.6 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 39th with 341.6 total yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball. Penn State ranks 39th in the FBS with 34.4 points per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 14th-best by allowing just 14.8 points per game. From an offensive standpoint, Penn State is generating 251.0 passing yards per game (61st-ranked). It ranks 100th in the FBS defensively (260.2 passing yards given up per game). Penn State’s run defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 81.4 rushing yards surrendered per contest. In terms of offense, it is compiling 192.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 33rd. Penn State ranks 106th in the FBS with a 33.8% third-down conversion percentage, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 24th-best by surrendering a 30.3% third-down rate. Penn State has accumulated 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over six times, leading to a +6 turnover margin, which ranks 14th-best in the FBS.
Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Analysis
Michigan is 3-3-0 against the spread this season. Michigan has an ATS record of 3-3 when playing as at least 7-point favorites. Games involving Michigan have yet to hit the over this season. The Wolverines have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of five times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Wolverines have won all five games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -272 or shorter.
Nittany Lions Betting Insights
Penn State is 3-2-0 against the spread this season. Penn State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this year. The Nittany Lions will play as the underdog for the first time this season. The Nittany Lions have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +209 odds on them winning this game.
ATBFORUM Prediction-we have a 27-24 or 24-21 final at Penn State at +7.0