July 13, 2024

AFC North Rivalry| Steelers vs Bengals Prediction & Pick

2 min read

It’s an AFC North rivalry this Sunday when the Cincinnati Bengals host the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio.

This will be the second meeting of the season after the Bengals went into Heinz Field in Week 3 and took down the Steelers (24-10).
The Bengals (6-4) have a shot at a sweep of the season series for the first time since 2009.Cincinnati snapped a two-game slide with a convinicing win at Las Vegas (32-13) last week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers saw a five-game unbeaten streak snapped on Sunday night in a 41-37 loss at the Los Angeles Chargers.

America’s Bookie opened this game with the following numbers
Opening Line: Cincinnati (-4.0 @ -110)
Total: (46.5 @ -110)
Current Line: Cincinnati (-3.5 @ -110)
Total: (45.5 @-110)

A few factors to consider for this one.Pittsburgh is coming off the long road trip out west. This is Pittsburgh second straight on the road and third in their last five weeks since their bye week and travelling west coast to east coast after a loss could be a tough one. Cincy is starting a three straight at home with the Chargers coming to Ohio next week and than the Baltimore Ravens.

The Steelers have some defensive injuries, which will be in play here. Joe Haden and TJ Watt are still expected to be out this week, but make sure you check the injury list before kickoff.The Bengals impressed coming off their bye last week and I think the momentum will carry over but do they cover is the question?

Steelers and Bengals betting trends
The Steelers are 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 games against the Bengals
The Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between the Steelers and Bengals
The Under is 42-14-1 in the Steelers’ last 57 road games
The Under is 21-8-1 in the Bengals’ last 30 games following a win of more than 14 points

Mike Tomlin is Underdog monster! As an underdog, Tomlin is the most profitable coach against the spread (ATS) in the NFL, going 42-20-2 ATS in those situations for a 32.1% ROI.

Moreover, Tomlin is 30-17 ATS as a road underdog, and the Roethlisberger-Tomlin tandem loves playing in Cincinnati. With Big Ben under center, the Steelers are 12-4 ATS when playing in Cincy.

Prediction & Pick
We will grab Pittsburgh (+4).The Bengals are back at home where they’ve failed to cover 6 of the L/8 when listed as chalk. and we feel a few Steeler players will return from being sidelined to help their side leap over the Bengals in the standings.
Pittsburgh in a close one plus the points.

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