May 26, 2022

UFC on ESPN 35 Odds, Picks and Preview

3 min read

Today we are diving into the six main card fights on this week’s UFC Fight Night. There are a few fights that feel like we know what the result will be, so make sure to bet responsibly, and let’s dive right into our UFC Fight Night Predictions.

When: Saturday, April 30
Where: UFC Apex
Watch: ESPN+
Wagering Open : America’s Bookie

Krzysztof Jotko vs. Gerald Meerschaert Prediction

Krzysztof Jotko has been doing well in his MMA career with a 23-5 record, but Gerald Meerschaert should be able to win by submission in this fight. GMJ averages 0.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes while Jotko is sitting at 0.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes. Once Meersschaert gets him on the floor, it will be difficult to imagine Jotko being able to get up. Go with GMJ to win in this matchup.

Best Bet: Gerald Meerschaert (+140)

Darren Elkins vs. Tristan Connelly Prediction

Darren Elkins should win as he’s got a 27-10 record. On the other hand, Tristan Connelly has a 14-7 record. However, both fighters are coming off a loss. In the featherweight division, this should be an intriguing fight, and this fight will be staying upright. This should be an interesting matchup as Darren Elkins should be able to win here by split decision.

Best Bet: Darren Elkins (-170)

Jared Gordon vs. Grant Dawson Prediction

Grant Dawson has been extremely excellent in his career with a 17-1-1 record and is coming off a draw. Just like the first matchup, Dawson is a submission machine and should be able to end the fight with a tapout, as 65 percent of his victories end with a submission. Gordon is a good fighter in the lightweight division, but this will be a tough matchup, so go with Grant Dawson to win this fight.

Best Bet: Grant Dawson (-180)

Andre Fili vs. Joanderson Brito Prediction

Andre Fili has a distinct advantage as he has a 21-8-0 record with one no-contest, while Joanderson Brito has a 12-3-1 record. Fili has a three-inch height advantage, two-inch reach advantage, and two-inch leg reach advantage in this fight. He also has shown the ability to win by knockout and going the full distance as he has nine wins with both finishes. Fili’s last fight ended in a no-contest after an accidental eye poke, so he is pretty fresh going into this fight. Go with Andre Fili to pick up a win as he is a heavy favorite.

Best Bet: Andre Fili (-260)

Andrei Arlovski vs. Jake Collier Prediction

Arlovski has shown the ability to win consistently in the UFC, while Collier has struggled throughout his UFC career. Arlovski is one of the better heavyweights and should be able to win here after winning five of his previous six fights. Collier’s still getting his footing in the heavyweight division after jumping up from the light heavyweight division and has just a 2-2 record. This should be an entertaining fight, but Arlovski should control the fight and win convincingly here.

Best Bet: Andrei Arlovski (-145)

Rob Font vs. Marlon Vera Prediction

In the main event, Rob Font should dominate here as Marlon Vera is more of a predictable fighter as Vera is going to try to put his opponents into submission holds to pick up the win. However, Font has landed the fifth-most significant strikes in UFC bantamweight history with 847, so he is going to land heavy strikes throughout the fight. Font has the ability to control this fight with his striking ability and should end up with the victory as he continues to climb in the division.

Best Bet: Rob Font (-140)

UFC on ESPN 35 Betting Lines

Rob Font (-140) vs. Marlon Vera (+120)

Andrei Arlovski (-145) vs. Jake Collier (+125)

Andre Fili (-260) vs. Joanderson Brito (+210)

Jared Gordon (+155) vs. Grant Dawson (-180)

Darren Elkins (-170) vs. Tristan Connelly (+150)

Krzysztof Jotko (-160) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+140)

Kyle Parker for Scores And Stats

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