January 27, 2022

TaxAct Texas Bowl: LSU vs. Kansas State| Tue Jan 4th Pick

2 min read

Louisiana State vs Kansas State
When: 9:00 PM ET, Tuesday, January 4, 2022
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

Kansas State opened as a +2.5 underdog at America’s Bookie but has been bet all the way to -3.5. The total has jumped from 46.5 to 48 in this one.


The huge swing in the number can be attributed to who takes the snaps on Tuesday evening for the Tigers as Starter Max Johnson transferred, Myles Brennan is still injured, and T.J. Finley left for Auburn before the season.
LUS may need to resort to the running game where LSU was ranks only 117th nationally in rushing yards per game and that versus a Kansas State D who is excellent at defending the rush is a recepe for disaster.

These two teams Only 1 previous meeting & that was back in 1980. The last time these teams squared off was Sept. 13, 1980, a 21-0 Tigers victory in Baton Rouge, La.KSt is in the Texas Bowl for a 3rd time & played in the 1st Texas Bowl back in
‘06!

Early money showed for LSU, but Kansas State is now the favorite at most shops due to the Tigers’ quarterback shakeup.

LSU is 6-1 ATS(L7G) – VS BIG 12
KANSAS ST is 4-10 ATS(L14G) – In Bowl Games
LSU is 6-1 OVER(L7G) – VS BIG 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND
LSU has won L6 games vs. Big 12 foes, scoring 48.4 PPG in L5

This game should be close in the early staged but we feel K-State will simply be too much for LSU’s depleted roster at the end and should prevail to a win and cover. 

PREDICTION: K-STATE 31, LSU 17

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