October 4, 2023

NFL Week #2 Sunday Sept 17 Hot Trends

3 min read

Hey don’t look now but the bills and the chiefs both lost in week #1 and look to rebound in week #2. Your week 2 NFL Hot Trends are listed below.

Jacksonville went 5-0 SU and ATS as a home underdog in 2022.

The time could be now for the Jaguars, and a statement win vs. the defending champs would go a long way to prove that they’re a legit contender.

This 5-0 streak as a home dog includes their playoff win vs the Chargers, while the offense has averaged an impressive 30 points per game during this mini-tear.

With the Chiefs already facing some early season adversity, this one sets up nicely for the kings of the AFC South.

The Colts are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 divisional matchups.

Indianapolis has been an ATS punching bag within the AFC South lately, while the Texans  are on a respectable stretch that’s seen them go 10-4 ATS in their last 14 divisional games.

These are fun trends, but they don’t carry a whole lot of substance considering the overhauls each team has had over the past few seasons. That said, Houston did cover in both games vs. the Colts last season.

The Bears are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 as a road underdog.

It was confirmed in Week 1 that the Bears still suck when they got manhandled by the Packers, losing by 18 points on their home field. They’ll take the show on the road as a 3-point dog vs. a Bucs team that was expected to be awful, and still could be, but at least they’ve got some momentum after a surprise Week 1 win.

The Bears have now lost 10 straight overall, and there could be no end in sight if they can’t compete with Tampa Bay.

Kyle Shanahan is 9-3 SU and ATS when going head-to-head vs. Sean McVay.

There’s no doubt that these are two of the top coaches in the league with decades of coaching still ahead of them, but Shanahan has had McVay’s number. He kept his foot on McVay’s throat last season, picking up wins of 16 and 15 in the two matchups between the teams, and will look to crush him once again with the 49ers favored by eight on Sunday.

The Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

I think this is an important one to consider. I guarantee this week you’ll hear someone pick the Patriots  using logic along the lines of “I love Bill Belichick catching points at home!” That person will fail to provide much context and probably doesn’t realize New England is 0-5 ATS in its last five as a home dog. The Dolphins  have also had their number lately, covering in five straight.

The Saints have gone Under in 10 of their last 11 games.

Everything about this matchup shouts UNDER! The teams combined for just 26 points in Week 1, while they’ve also gone below the total in five straight games against each other.

Specific to the trend above, these games have been extremely low-scoring, seeing an average combined score of just 30.18.

Picks to consider:

Rams +7.5-105

Falcons +2-113

Jaguars +3.5-11

Good luck!

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