September 28, 2022

NFL WEEK 1 BUFFALO @ LA RAMS BETTING PREDICTIONS

3 min read

The NFL wagering season is less than 4 days away, with the first game set for Sept. 8. ATBForum will be providing free selections once again which means it is time to get down to business with our NFL Week 1 picks.

The new season begins with the Super Bowl champion LA Rams playing host to the Buffalo Bills at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California in the Thursday night opener. The Rams are currently a 2.5-point underdogs at Americas Bookie. If you’re a totals player that number has made a substantial move from 51.5 to 53, while the Rams are +115 on the money-line and the Bills are -135. 

Trends

Buffalo are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games.
Buffalo are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Buffalo are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against LA Rams.
Buffalo are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against LA Rams.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games on the road.
Buffalo are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
Buffalo are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played in September.
Buffalo are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games played in week 1.

LA Rams are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams’ last 6 games.
LA Rams are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams’ last 9 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams’ last 7 games at home.
LA Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams’ last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
LA Rams are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games played in September.
LA Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 1.
LA Rams are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played on a Thursday.

Opening Betting Odds
Spread: Buffalo +1, LA Rams -1
Moneyline: Buffalo -120, LA Rams +100
Total: 52

Looking at the posted number I ask you how often have you seen the defending champions open up the new season as an underdog? Keep in mind when the numbers were posted for week #1 the Rams were a (-1) and now sit as a (+2.5) dog a 3 pt swing in the betting.

Buffalo Bills
11-6 overall in 2021
5-1 in the AFC East in 2021
10-7-2 against the spread in 2021

LA Rams
12-5 overall in 2021
3-3 in the NFC West in 2021
10-11 against the spread in 2021

The Bills have won three of four meetings between these teams since 2008, and two of those wins came on the road. The total of 52 looks a little high for a season opener. Buffalo failed to reach the total in three of their first four games last year, and the Rams didn’t reach a total of 52 in either of their first two games last year.

Prediction: Bills 27 – Rams 23

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