The Wolverines (11-1, 8-1 Big Ten) got to this Saturday’s conference championship game in Indianapolis by laying a beating over Ohio State last weekend 42-27 after Ohio State laid the same beating on little brother Michigan State the week before.
Iowa (10-2, 7-2), 13th in the playoff rankings, won the Big Ten West when Wisconsin was upset at Minnesota, denying the Badgers a title game berth.
America’s Bookie opened this game as Michigan (-11.0) with a total posted of (43.5).
The Hawyeyes have held the advantage in this rivalry going (15-8-1 ATS) versus Michigan when getting points and Iowa owns an 8-2 ATS abd 6-0 ATS mark in this series when the wolverines are coming off back to bakc wins.
“First, teams entering their conference championship game, coming off a win of 14 or more points, are just 19-29 ATS all-time, including 1-9 ATS
against a foe coming off a loss. Next, the favorite in Big Ten title
games is 2-8 ATS (1-7 ATS versus .800 or greater foes). Finally, Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz brings a 5-0 ATS record as a dog of more than 7 points with a win percentage of of .750 or more.
Iowa lost to Michigan State 16-13 in 2015 in its only other appearance in the Big Ten Championship game. Iowa has won five of the last seven meetings against Michigan, with the Wolverines winning 10-3 at home in the last meeting, in 2019.
Iowa is ranked 13th nationally in total defense, allowing 315.7 yards per game, one spot ahead of the Wolverines (319.2 ypg). Michigan is eighth in scoring defense (17.17 ppg), while the Hawkeyes are ninth (17.25 ppg).
The Wolverines average 451.2 yards of offense, while Iowa averages 299
The Hawkeyes may be able to play D but being the 123rd-ranked offense kills any chance of staying close in this one.
Ohio State has won the last four installments, all as a favorite, but failed to cover the point spread in the last two.
Last week was a huge emotional win for Michigan and will there be a let down this weekend?
Prediction: Michigan 34-27
Take :Iowa (+11.0)